In 1984, Christopher Flavin, the President emeritus of the Worldwatch Institute, said that in a few years’ time wind energy will not need to be subsidised. Booz, Allen & Hamilton wrote a report in 1983 saying the same thing. As did Amory Lovins and the American Wind Energy Association, who testified that California Energy Commission had predicted wind would soon be cheaper than all other electricity generation.
Despite being consistently wrong on renewable energy economics and viability, greens never admit to their mistaken forecasts. Why?
What's the reality? Physics Nobel Laureate and ex-US Energy Secretary Stephen Chu told the New York Times that solar technology would have to get five times better to be competitive in today’s energy market.
- Will renewables become cost-competitive anytime soon?
- Christopher Flavin, "Electricity’s Future: The Shift to Efficiency and Small-Scale Power," Worldwatch Paper 61, Worldwatch Institute, November 1984, p. 35.
- Renewable Energy. The Power to Choose; by Daniel Deudney, Christopher Flavin; Worldwatch Institute, 1983
- Booz, Allen & Hamilton : Quoted in Renewable Energy Industry, Joint Hearing before the Subcommittees of the Committee on Energy and Commerce et al., House of Representatives, 98th Cong., 1st sess. (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1983), p. 52.